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Nov 30, 2012
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before the fiscal cliff that was a predominant conversation. as i look at it and combine it with fiscal cliff i am pessimistic. the only thing that keeps the economy moving is the effect of wide deficits, monetary policies. i am not feeling that good about it. >> we can string our own story together. we have to admit that in november consumer discretionary was the top performing s&p sector. how do you account for that divergence? people are now getting concerned about the consumer? >> we are getting worried about the consumer in china. we knew the industrial story in china was problematic and the consumer was the good news. now we are worried about the consumerer over here despite the fact that housing prices are improving and we are headed to the holiday. dan mentions tiffany. mcdonald's which really hung in there and done well not as well as yum but mcdonald's is faced with problems as far as same store sales and turnover. none of these consumer names, none of them are doing really well. >> to the yum story if we are going to say yum is havin
before the fiscal cliff that was a predominant conversation. as i look at it and combine it with fiscal cliff i am pessimistic. the only thing that keeps the economy moving is the effect of wide deficits, monetary policies. i am not feeling that good about it. >> we can string our own story together. we have to admit that in november consumer discretionary was the top performing s&p sector. how do you account for that divergence? people are now getting concerned about the consumer?...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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but going from 8% to 11% for one or two months fiscal cliff, that sounds extreme. i think if there's absolute gridlock in washington -- and right now washington seems to be on another planet. all of us in the markets, people at home, people in the country want republicans and democrats to work together. everyone seems to want that except for republicans and democrats. if they really are as far apart as they seem at times, we could shoot ourselves in the foot. >> i think most of us wish that washington were on another planet. and that we could just take the whole group and ship them there. since we can't do that, however, i think if we do get two weeks or a month worth of argument that results in the fiscal cliff being -- that we fall off the cliff, then you are going to start seeing layoff notices and the rest. fortunately, i would say we're going to accelerate that unemployment and the job loss, unfortunately, if that happens. and that's going to result in warnings going forward from all the major industrial companies, as well. that's what i hope washington is lis
but going from 8% to 11% for one or two months fiscal cliff, that sounds extreme. i think if there's absolute gridlock in washington -- and right now washington seems to be on another planet. all of us in the markets, people at home, people in the country want republicans and democrats to work together. everyone seems to want that except for republicans and democrats. if they really are as far apart as they seem at times, we could shoot ourselves in the foot. >> i think most of us wish...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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listen, going off the fiscal cliff will hurt our economy. it will cost american jobs. republicans have taken action to avert the fiscal cliff by passing legislation to stop all the tax hikes, to replace the sequester and pave the way for -- pave the way for tax reform and entitlement reform. and we're the only ones with a balanced plan to protect the economy and protect american jobs and protect the middle class from the fiscal cliff. but without spending cuts and entitlement reforms it's going to be impossible to address our country's debt crisis and to get our economy going again and to create jobs. so right now, all eyes are on the white house. the country doesn't need a victory lap. it needs leadership. it's time for the president, congressional democrats to tell the american people what spending cuts they're really willing to make. with that, i'll take a few questions sfwl speaker boehner, why will you not tell democrats what specific spending cuts you would like to see, especially within entitlements? >> it's been very clear over the last year and a half, i've ta
listen, going off the fiscal cliff will hurt our economy. it will cost american jobs. republicans have taken action to avert the fiscal cliff by passing legislation to stop all the tax hikes, to replace the sequester and pave the way for -- pave the way for tax reform and entitlement reform. and we're the only ones with a balanced plan to protect the economy and protect american jobs and protect the middle class from the fiscal cliff. but without spending cuts and entitlement reforms it's going...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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what a ceo, a toy ceo, plans to tell the president about jobs, the economy and the fiscal cliff. >>> plus, the top tech trends coming in 2013 and how you can play them right now. find out on "power." now back to scott and more on "fast half." >> see you in 15 minutes. >>> sin to win. jon najarian crunched the performance on the numbers of sin stocks. up big since the recession. >> take a look at, for instance, cigarette stocks. starting with altria. going through phillip morris. smoke them if you've got them, folks. these are outstanding performances. up 123% for altria. 112% and 117% respectively for the other two cigarette stocks. that's not all. i mean, you know, bartender, i'll have another. take a look at the performance over the last four years of consolation brands. 131%. >> how many times did you say that last night? >> budweiser. that's what i was saying last night. 125%. and diageo 115%. i know where you're going with that i'll have another. as far as get away trades, priceline, this is one of those outstanding performers that even makes apple look sick. up 873% since '08.
what a ceo, a toy ceo, plans to tell the president about jobs, the economy and the fiscal cliff. >>> plus, the top tech trends coming in 2013 and how you can play them right now. find out on "power." now back to scott and more on "fast half." >> see you in 15 minutes. >>> sin to win. jon najarian crunched the performance on the numbers of sin stocks. up big since the recession. >> take a look at, for instance, cigarette stocks. starting with...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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it is more a fiscal mole hill next year than a fiscal cliff. but offsetting that is an economy which is firing on many more cylinders than it was a year ago. employment rate's coming down. bank lending rising, housing activity going up, confidence is down, debt burdens are down. in addition there is a lot of stimulus. money supply is growing rapidly. record low mortgage rates. we have the dollar down. we got gas prices falling at the pump for the holiday season. we've got inflation decelerating from where it was helping real incomes. i'm seeing a lot of evidence of china showing signs of new acceleration. we might get the emerging world doing better next year. we've certainly calmed down concerns about the eurozone. so i think there's a real case that we grow 3%, the emerging world picks up, and the valuation on equities rises -- >> even if we don't get a deal in taxes? we hear that the average family will pay $1,200 more in taxes over the year and it is going to doom the economy. it's instant recession. >> well, there's no doubt if we have com
it is more a fiscal mole hill next year than a fiscal cliff. but offsetting that is an economy which is firing on many more cylinders than it was a year ago. employment rate's coming down. bank lending rising, housing activity going up, confidence is down, debt burdens are down. in addition there is a lot of stimulus. money supply is growing rapidly. record low mortgage rates. we have the dollar down. we got gas prices falling at the pump for the holiday season. we've got inflation decelerating...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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everything you've written for 2013 is the assumption the fiscal cliff does get solved. does that mean solved by december 31st? does that incorporate the idea maybe it gets pushed down to middle 2013? that is an underlying assumption you make. what is the real basis of that? >> so the precedent of the last two years is that negotiations continue until late, mid to late december. so you go back two years ago after the 2010 elections. there was an extension of the bush tax cuts. there was decided on december 17th. a year ago in terms of the payroll tax cut that was extended on december 23rd. so three weeks from today is december 21st. if you're looking for a day that is sort of the time period. if you're going to get something that would be about the time. obviously experts, my colleagues in washington, d.c. will give more details but from a strategic perspective there is a near term and longer-term path. the economy is getting better slowly. housing is getting better. there are forecasts in terms of the cash companies will spend. they'll spend over a trillion dollars next
everything you've written for 2013 is the assumption the fiscal cliff does get solved. does that mean solved by december 31st? does that incorporate the idea maybe it gets pushed down to middle 2013? that is an underlying assumption you make. what is the real basis of that? >> so the precedent of the last two years is that negotiations continue until late, mid to late december. so you go back two years ago after the 2010 elections. there was an extension of the bush tax cuts. there was...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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cliff the thing we always continued to look at is our economy wanting it to continue to grow. today we'll have small family owned businesses in there talking about ways that we can protect the family business, continue to grow and at the same time make sure we solve this fiscal cliff. each and every day as we walk the halls you continue to ask the question. we want the answers solving fiscal cliff. we put be a offer on the table. the president now has to engage. i think the next 72 hours are critical. he sits back and continues to play politics, that will give you answer of where we're going. this is an opportunity for this country to lead. this is an opportunity for the president to lead. >> as fiscal cliff negotiations and debate continues, i think it's important to remember that washington doesn't have a revenue problem. it has a spending problem. under this administration under president obama we have seen record deficits and a record debt accumulate and yet he keeps demanding that we raise taxes -- >> those are some of the republican leadership in the house as you can see
cliff the thing we always continued to look at is our economy wanting it to continue to grow. today we'll have small family owned businesses in there talking about ways that we can protect the family business, continue to grow and at the same time make sure we solve this fiscal cliff. each and every day as we walk the halls you continue to ask the question. we want the answers solving fiscal cliff. we put be a offer on the table. the president now has to engage. i think the next 72 hours are...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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going over the fiscal cliff could cause major problems for state economies. which face the biggest threat from the potential tax hikes? joining us on the phone is laura porter, managing director at the public finance department, sector head for the state ratings group which focuses on state credits across the country. and focuses on a report, laura, looking granularly at this. good morning. >> good morning. thanks for having me. >> in general, you argue that a lot of ratings on the state front will remain unchanged no matter what. why is that? >> we feel states are fundamentally very strong credits, have strong control over their revenues and spending and the vast majority have shown the ability and willingness to adjust. so we think that the biggest and immediate threat is the fiscal cliff and what that can mean for state revenues, which quickly react to changing economy. >> you make the point -- surprise to no one, you have an unusually high degree of uncertainty in this outlook and that's because -- walk us through a scenario. we go over the cliff, and we
going over the fiscal cliff could cause major problems for state economies. which face the biggest threat from the potential tax hikes? joining us on the phone is laura porter, managing director at the public finance department, sector head for the state ratings group which focuses on state credits across the country. and focuses on a report, laura, looking granularly at this. good morning. >> good morning. thanks for having me. >> in general, you argue that a lot of ratings on the...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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plus we'll hop behind the wheel of auto nation to talk sales, the economy and of course the fiscal cliff. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! oh...there you go. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! i'm gonna stand up to her! no you're not. i know. you know ronny folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure are happy. how happy are they jimmy? happier than a witch in a broom factory. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help those affected and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open, and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. and bp's also committed to america. we support nearly 250,000 jobs and invest more here than anywhere else. we're working to fuel america for generations to come. our commitment has never been stronger. well, having a ton of locations doesn't hurt. and a santa to boot! [ chuckles ] right, baby. oh, sir. that is a customer. oh...sorry about that. [ male announcer ] break from the hol
plus we'll hop behind the wheel of auto nation to talk sales, the economy and of course the fiscal cliff. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! oh...there you go. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! i'm gonna stand up to her! no you're not. i know. you know ronny folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure are happy. how happy are they jimmy? happier than a witch in a broom factory. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. two years ago, the people of bp made a...